Direct answer: can you estimate how much you can make per day in forex?
There is no single, reliable number for “how much you can make in forex per day.” In practice, your net daily result is the sum of your trading outcomes minus day trading costs (for example, spread and commissions) over the day. Because future market movement and your own execution are unknown, any “per day” figure can only be an expectation under assumptions, not a prediction.
If you want a bounded answer, the closest verifiable way is to estimate ranges based on controllable inputs (position size, planned number of trades) and explicit costs, then subtract those costs from assumed gross results. The result will still be uncertain because outcomes are not known in advance.
How it works in day trading terms (inputs and the path to net profit)
“Per day” in forex day trading usually means combining several possible trades within one trading day. A simple way to think about it is:
Net daily result = (gross trade gains − gross trade losses) − day trading costs.
Key variables are:
- Position size: Larger size can increase both gains and losses.
- Trade frequency: More trades can increase the chance of both wins and losses.
- Win rate and average win/loss: Even with many small wins, a smaller number of large losses can dominate the daily outcome.
- Day trading costs: These reduce net results each time you enter and exit.
Day trading costs matter because the market must move enough to cover them before net profit is possible. Even if a trade is “directionally right,” unfavorable costs and slippage can reduce or eliminate the profit.
A comparison-style way to check realistic ranges
To make the question independent of hype, run scenario checks rather than seeking a single daily target.
- Conservative scenario: Assume more frequent small losses than gains and include full estimated costs. The net daily outcome could be negative.
- Balanced scenario: Assume mixed results where average gains and average losses are closer, then subtract costs. Net results may hover around breakeven or swing modestly.
- Optimistic scenario: Assume more gains than losses and that the average gain meaningfully exceeds average loss, while costs remain within your estimates. Net daily results could be positive, but the path still depends on unknown market behavior.
This approach is useful because it highlights the role of uncertainty: two people trading the same instrument and style can still have different daily outcomes due to sizing, execution quality, and the realized distribution of gains and losses.
Relevant limitations and risks to keep the estimate honest
- No guaranteed daily amount: Because profits depend on future price movement, any per-day figure is conditional.
- Costs can change: Spread, commissions, and execution quality can vary, affecting net results.
- Slippage and partial fills: Real execution may differ from idealized backtest assumptions.
- Behavioral and operational limits: Consistency in managing trades affects outcomes more than “how much” someone tries to earn.
If you see someone stating a fixed daily earning number, a guarantee, or a “sure win,” treat it as unreliable. A more independently verifiable view is to work with ranges, clearly list the assumptions, and recognize that day trading costs and realized trade outcomes determine the result.